FC Astana vs Kaisar preview
In the match between FC Astana and Kaisar, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Astana at 69%, while Kaisar sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.25 for FC Astana and 0.81 for Kaisar.
However, Kaisar's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Additionally, while there's a 59% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, these outcomes depend on Kaisar finding form and contributing to the scoreline.
FC Astana vs Kaisar: model vs market
| Source | FC Astana | Draw | Kaisar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Astana and Kaisar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.06
- Attack rating (FC Astana / Kaisar)
- 1.23 / 0.83
- Defence rating (FC Astana / Kaisar)
- 0.86 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Astana vs Kaisar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Astana goals. Columns: Kaisar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Astana vs Kaisar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Astana vs Kaisar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Astana | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.06 | |
| Kaisar | 11% | 8.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Astana or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Kaisar) | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Astana win by 2+ | 46% | 2.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Astana and Kaisar recent form
FC Astana
3W 1D 2L
Kaisar
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Astana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-2-0
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.36
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kaisar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-7
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.54
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Astana at home only, Kaisar away only.
FC Astana vs Kaisar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Astana 1 · draws 2 · Kaisar 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Kaisar | 0-0 | FC Astana | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-08-28 | FC Astana | 5-1 | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-05-04 | Kaisar | 1-1 | FC Astana | Kazakhstan Premier League |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Okzhetpes v Kaspiy — match page 2026-10-24
- Zhetysu v FK Tobol Kostanay — match page 2026-10-24
- Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau 2026-10-24
- Ordabasy v Zhenys — match page 2026-10-24
- Altay vs Yelimay Semey — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Atyrau vs Irtysh 2026-10-25
- Aktobe vs Kairat Almaty — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC Astana, previous: FC Astana vs Kaspiy: odds and pick
- Kaisar, previous: Zhetysu v Kaisar analysis