Zhetysu vs Kaisar preview
In the fixture between Zhetysu and Kaisar, the 1X2 probabilities show Zhetysu at 36%, draw at 30%, and Kaisar at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model. Zhetysu's recent form is L-L-L-W-L-L, while Kaisar has L-D-W-L-L-L.
The expected goals are 1.10 for Zhetysu and 1.24 for Kaisar, indicating a close contest. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 41%, and both teams to score stands at 49%. However, the recent form of both teams could lead to unexpected outcomes, particularly given their head-to-head record of 3 draws and no wins for either side.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar: model vs market
| Source | Zhetysu | Draw | Kaisar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Published | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Edge | -6% | +1% | +6% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.56, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zhetysu, 7 snapshots since 2026-08-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | 2.27 | 2.45 | +0.18 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.04 | -0.06 |
| Kaisar | 3.00 | 2.77 | -0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zhetysu and Kaisar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Zhetysu / Kaisar)
- 0.60 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Zhetysu / Kaisar)
- 1.29 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zhetysu goals. Columns: Kaisar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zhetysu vs Kaisar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Kaisar | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zhetysu or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Kaisar) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhetysu win by 2+ | 13% | 7.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zhetysu and Kaisar recent form
Zhetysu
1W 0D 5L
Kaisar
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zhetysu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaisar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-6
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zhetysu at home only, Kaisar away only.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Zhetysu 2 · draws 6 · Kaisar 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Kaisar | 1-1 | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-09-16 | Zhetysu | 1-1 | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2025-05-31 | Kaisar | 2-2 | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League |
| 2024-08-24 | Kaisar | 0-0 | Zhetysu | Premier League |
| 2024-06-22 | Zhetysu | 1-2 | Kaisar | Premier League |
| 2023-08-26 | Kaisar | 1-1 | Zhetysu | Premier League |
| 2023-04-15 | Zhetysu | 0-2 | Kaisar | Premier League |
| 2022-10-28 | Kaisar | 0-0 | Zhetysu | 1. Division |
| 2022-07-12 | Zhetysu | 2-1 | Kaisar | 1. Division |
| 2021-10-24 | Kaisar | 0-1 | Zhetysu | Premier League |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
- Okzhetpes v Kyzyl-Zhar — match page 2026-10-17
- FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhenys — match page 2026-10-17
- Aktobe vs Ordabasy — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Altay vs Atyrau 2026-10-18
- Yelimay Semey v Ulytau — match page 2026-10-18
- Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- FC Astana vs Kaspiy 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Zhetysu, previous: Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu prediction
- Kaisar, previous: Kaisar vs Ordabasy: odds and pick