Atert Bissen vs US Hostert preview
Atert Bissen faces US Hostert with a 52% chance to win compared to 25% for US Hostert. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 9% of the time in our model. Atert Bissen has an expected goals figure of 2.10, while US Hostert sits at 1.44.
Both teams show potential for goals, with a 69% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance for both teams to score. However, Atert Bissen's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. US Hostert has also struggled, with only one win in their last five games.
Atert Bissen vs US Hostert: model vs market
| Source | Atert Bissen | Draw | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| Published | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Edge | -12% | +2% | +9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.46, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Atert Bissen vs US Hostert odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Atert Bissen, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atert Bissen | 1.58 | 1.41 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.40 | +0.40 |
| US Hostert | 4.29 | 5.55 | +1.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Atert Bissen and US Hostert expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.54
- Attack rating (Atert Bissen / US Hostert)
- 1.39 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Atert Bissen / US Hostert)
- 1.07 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atert Bissen vs US Hostert score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atert Bissen goals. Columns: US Hostert goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atert Bissen vs US Hostert goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atert Bissen vs US Hostert
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atert Bissen | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.77 | |
| US Hostert | 18% | 5.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atert Bissen or draw) | 82% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or US Hostert) | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atert Bissen win by 2+ | 31% | 3.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atert Bissen and US Hostert recent form
Atert Bissen
3W 1D 2L
US Hostert
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atert Bissen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
US Hostert away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atert Bissen at home only, US Hostert away only.
Atert Bissen vs US Hostert head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Atert Bissen 3 · draws 0 · US Hostert 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Atert Bissen | 2-1 | US Hostert | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-04-19 | US Hostert | 0-3 | Atert Bissen | National Division |
| 2025-10-26 | Atert Bissen | 7-1 | US Hostert | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- Atert Bissen, previous: Racing FC Union Luxembourg – Atert Bissen, 2026-10-11
- US Hostert, previous: US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn prediction