Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange preview
In the match between Résidence Walferdange and US Rumelange, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong likelihood for a home win at 68%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 at 9%. The expected goals for Résidence Walferdange are 2.73, compared to 1.26 for US Rumelange, indicating a significant attacking advantage for the home side.
However, there are factors that could influence the outcome. Both teams to score has a probability of 68%, suggesting that US Rumelange may find the net despite their recent poor form of six consecutive losses. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange: model vs market
| Source | Résidence Walferdange | Draw | US Rumelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 68% | 18% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Résidence Walferdange and US Rumelange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.99
- Attack rating (Résidence Walferdange / US Rumelange)
- 1.08 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Résidence Walferdange / US Rumelange)
- 1.19 / 1.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Résidence Walferdange goals. Columns: US Rumelange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Résidence Walferdange | 68% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.69 | |
| US Rumelange | 15% | 6.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Résidence Walferdange or draw) | 85% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or US Rumelange) | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win by 2+ | 48% | 2.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Résidence Walferdange and US Rumelange recent form
Résidence Walferdange
3W 0D 3L
US Rumelange
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Résidence Walferdange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
US Rumelange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Résidence Walferdange at home only, US Rumelange away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- UNA Strassen v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page 2026-10-18
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 2026-10-18
- Atert Bissen v US Hostert — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Résidence Walferdange, previous: FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange prediction
- US Rumelange, previous: US Rumelange v US Mondorf-les-bains analysis