F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange preview
In the upcoming match between F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong advantage for F91 Dudelange at 79%, compared to just 7% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 68% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score.
F91 Dudelange's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Swift Hesperange has lost all 6 of their recent games. This disparity in form could lead to a clear outcome, but if Swift Hesperange manages to improve their performance, it could challenge the expected goals of 2.78 for Dudelange and 0.74 for Hesperange.
F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange: model vs market
| Source | F91 Dudelange | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.53
- Attack rating (F91 Dudelange / Swift Hesperange)
- 1.00 / 0.47
- Defence rating (F91 Dudelange / Swift Hesperange)
- 1.13 / 1.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: F91 Dudelange goals. Columns: Swift Hesperange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | F91 Dudelange | 79% | 1.26 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.04 | |
| Swift Hesperange | 7% | 14.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (F91 Dudelange or draw) | 93% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Swift Hesperange) | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | F91 Dudelange win by 2+ | 60% | 1.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange recent form
F91 Dudelange
3W 1D 2L
Swift Hesperange
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
F91 Dudelange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Swift Hesperange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: F91 Dudelange at home only, Swift Hesperange away only.
F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: F91 Dudelange 6 · draws 0 · Swift Hesperange 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Swift Hesperange | 0-3 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2025-11-02 | F91 Dudelange | 3-1 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2025-05-03 | Swift Hesperange | 0-4 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2024-11-23 | F91 Dudelange | 4-3 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2024-04-28 | Swift Hesperange | 2-1 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2023-11-12 | F91 Dudelange | 1-0 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2023-04-16 | Swift Hesperange | 4-3 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2022-11-06 | F91 Dudelange | 0-4 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2022-05-01 | F91 Dudelange | 1-0 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2021-11-28 | Swift Hesperange | 1-0 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- F91 Dudelange, previous: Etzella Ettelbruck – F91 Dudelange, 2026-10-11
- Swift Hesperange, previous: Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport: odds and pick