UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg preview
UNA Strassen faces Racing FC Union Luxembourg with a 51% probability of winning compared to 22% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with UNA Strassen's expected goals of 1.64, while Racing FC Union Luxembourg has an expected goals figure of 1.01.
Both teams to score stands at 52%, suggesting a close contest, but recent form shows UNA Strassen on a six-match winning streak, while Racing FC Union Luxembourg has drawn three of their last five matches. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the predicted scoreline. Over 2.5 goals is at 49%, indicating a balanced chance for a low-scoring affair.
UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: model vs market
| Source | UNA Strassen | Draw | Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 23% |
| Published | 51% | 26% | 22% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.77, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on UNA Strassen, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3.98 | 3.98 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
UNA Strassen and Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (UNA Strassen / Racing FC Union Luxembourg)
- 1.13 / 1.51
- Defence rating (UNA Strassen / Racing FC Union Luxembourg)
- 0.47 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: UNA Strassen goals. Columns: Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 51% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (UNA Strassen or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Racing FC Union Luxembourg) | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win by 2+ | 28% | 3.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
UNA Strassen and Racing FC Union Luxembourg recent form
UNA Strassen
6W 0D 0L
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
UNA Strassen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 9 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: UNA Strassen at home only, Racing FC Union Luxembourg away only.
UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: UNA Strassen 5 · draws 2 · Racing FC Union Luxembourg 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | UNA Strassen | 1-0 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2025-10-18 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1-2 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2025-02-22 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 0-1 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2024-08-25 | UNA Strassen | 0-0 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2024-05-05 | UNA Strassen | 1-1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2023-11-26 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 2-1 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2023-04-23 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 0-1 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2022-11-13 | UNA Strassen | 1-4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2022-05-15 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 6-1 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2021-12-11 | UNA Strassen | 3-0 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- UNA Strassen, previous: Wiltz v UNA Strassen analysis
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg, previous: Racing FC Union Luxembourg – Atert Bissen, 2026-10-11