Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 preview
In the upcoming match between Victoria Rosport and FC Differdange 03, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for FC Differdange 03 at 75%, compared to just 9% for Victoria Rosport. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with a 10% chance. FC Differdange 03 has been in strong form, winning 6 of their last 7 matches, while Victoria Rosport has a mixed record of 2 wins in their last 5.
The model also indicates a 70% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability for both teams to score. However, if Victoria Rosport can improve their scoring, it could challenge these predictions. Their expected goals stand at 0.90, while FC Differdange 03 has a significantly higher expected goals of 2.71.
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03: model vs market
| Source | Victoria Rosport | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| Published | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.22, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Differdange 03, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rosport | 11.75 | 11.75 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.85 | 5.85 | +0.00 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.18 | 1.20 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Victoria Rosport and FC Differdange 03 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Victoria Rosport / FC Differdange 03)
- 0.98 / 1.52
- Defence rating (Victoria Rosport / FC Differdange 03)
- 1.30 / 0.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Victoria Rosport goals. Columns: FC Differdange 03 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 8% | 12.88 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.48 | |
| FC Differdange 03 | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Victoria Rosport or draw) | 23% | 4.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Differdange 03) | 92% | 1.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win by 2+ | 58% | 1.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Victoria Rosport and FC Differdange 03 recent form
Victoria Rosport
2W 2D 2L
FC Differdange 03
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Victoria Rosport at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
FC Differdange 03 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Victoria Rosport at home only, FC Differdange 03 away only.
Victoria Rosport vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Victoria Rosport 0 · draws 1 · FC Differdange 03 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | FC Differdange 03 | 4-1 | Victoria Rosport | Cup |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Differdange 03 | 3-0 | Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| 2025-10-26 | Victoria Rosport | 0-2 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2025-04-19 | Victoria Rosport | 0-2 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2024-10-27 | FC Differdange 03 | 3-0 | Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Differdange 03 | 2-2 | Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| 2023-11-26 | Victoria Rosport | 0-1 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2023-05-10 | FC Differdange 03 | 1-0 | Victoria Rosport | Cup |
| 2023-04-16 | FC Differdange 03 | 4-0 | Victoria Rosport | National Division |
| 2022-11-06 | Victoria Rosport | 2-3 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- F91 Dudelange v Swift Hesperange — match page 2026-10-18
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck 2026-10-18
- UNA Strassen v Racing FC Union Luxembourg — match page 2026-10-18
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Atert Bissen v US Hostert — match page 2026-10-18
- Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Victoria Rosport, previous: Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport: odds and pick
- FC Differdange 03, previous: FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence Walferdange prediction