AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck preview
In the match between AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck, the 1X2 probabilities show AS Jeunesse Esch at 48%, while Etzella Ettelbruck is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals indicate AS Jeunesse Esch at 1.96 and Etzella Ettelbruck at 1.46, suggesting a competitive match.
The model predicts a high likelihood of goals, with 66% for Over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. However, the recent form shows AS Jeunesse Esch with two wins in their last six matches, while Etzella Ettelbruck has only one win in their last six. This could affect the outcome, making it less predictable.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck: model vs market
| Source | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | Etzella Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (AS Jeunesse Esch / Etzella Ettelbruck)
- 1.08 / 0.71
- Defence rating (AS Jeunesse Esch / Etzella Ettelbruck)
- 1.34 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AS Jeunesse Esch goals. Columns: Etzella Ettelbruck goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.53 |
| No | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AS Jeunesse Esch or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Etzella Ettelbruck) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win by 2+ | 32% | 3.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AS Jeunesse Esch and Etzella Ettelbruck recent form
AS Jeunesse Esch
2W 1D 3L
Etzella Ettelbruck
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AS Jeunesse Esch at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Etzella Ettelbruck away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: AS Jeunesse Esch at home only, Etzella Ettelbruck away only.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs Etzella Ettelbruck head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: AS Jeunesse Esch 3 · draws 4 · Etzella Ettelbruck 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-16 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3-0 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2022-11-06 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 6-0 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| 2022-04-03 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 5-1 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| 2021-10-17 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 2-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2021-04-05 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| 2020-09-23 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 1-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2019-10-27 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| 2019-03-10 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 1-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2018-08-26 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-0 | Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- AS Jeunesse Esch, previous: UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch: odds and pick
- Etzella Ettelbruck, previous: Etzella Ettelbruck – F91 Dudelange, 2026-10-11
- Etzella Ettelbruck, next: Etzella Ettelbruck – Progres Niederkorn, 2026-10-24