FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange preview
FC Differdange 03 has a 69% chance to win against F91 Dudelange, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 66%. FC Differdange 03 is in excellent form, winning their last 6 matches, while F91 Dudelange has mixed results, with 4 wins and 2 losses in their last 6.
However, the head-to-head record shows that FC Differdange 03 has not won in their last 2 encounters, with 2 draws against F91 Dudelange. This could influence the outcome, as past performances can sometimes reflect future results. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the prediction.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange: model vs market
| Source | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | F91 Dudelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Published | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.75 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Differdange 03, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.45 | 1.45 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.05 | +0.00 |
| F91 Dudelange | 5.55 | 5.55 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.95
- Attack rating (FC Differdange 03 / F91 Dudelange)
- 1.70 / 1.21
- Defence rating (FC Differdange 03 / F91 Dudelange)
- 0.69 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Differdange 03 goals. Columns: F91 Dudelange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.79 | |
| F91 Dudelange | 15% | 6.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Differdange 03 or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or F91 Dudelange) | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win by 2+ | 50% | 2.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Differdange 03 and F91 Dudelange recent form
FC Differdange 03
6W 0D 0L
F91 Dudelange
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Differdange 03 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
F91 Dudelange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Differdange 03 at home only, F91 Dudelange away only.
FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Differdange 03 5 · draws 4 · F91 Dudelange 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | FC Differdange 03 | 2-0 | F91 Dudelange | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-03-22 | F91 Dudelange | 0-0 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Differdange 03 | 2-2 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2025-05-28 | FC Differdange 03 | 2-2 | F91 Dudelange | Cup |
| 2025-02-15 | F91 Dudelange | 0-1 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2024-08-18 | FC Differdange 03 | 3-0 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2024-03-16 | FC Differdange 03 | 2-0 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
| 2023-10-28 | F91 Dudelange | 0-2 | FC Differdange 03 | Cup |
| 2023-09-23 | F91 Dudelange | 2-2 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| 2023-04-02 | FC Differdange 03 | 0-4 | F91 Dudelange | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- FC Differdange 03, previous: Victoria Rosport – FC Differdange 03, 2026-10-18
- FC Differdange 03, next: AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03: odds and pick
- F91 Dudelange, previous: F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange prediction
- F91 Dudelange, next: F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport prediction