Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch preview
In the fixture between Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch, the 1X2 probabilities show AS Jeunesse Esch at 78%, compared to Swift Hesperange's 7%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with AS Jeunesse Esch's expected goals of 2.83 against Swift Hesperange's 0.82.
Swift Hesperange has struggled recently, recording six consecutive losses, while AS Jeunesse Esch has mixed results with two wins in their last three matches. The prediction of Over 2.5 goals stands at 71%, and both teams to score is at 53%. However, if Swift Hesperange manages to improve their form or if AS Jeunesse Esch underperforms, these predictions could be challenged.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch: model vs market
| Source | Swift Hesperange | Draw | AS Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7% | 14% | 78% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 7% | 14% | 78% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (Swift Hesperange / AS Jeunesse Esch)
- 0.43 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Swift Hesperange / AS Jeunesse Esch)
- 1.91 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Swift Hesperange goals. Columns: AS Jeunesse Esch goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swift Hesperange | 7% | 13.38 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.95 | |
| AS Jeunesse Esch | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Swift Hesperange or draw) | 22% | 4.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or AS Jeunesse Esch) | 93% | 1.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Jeunesse Esch win by 2+ | 59% | 1.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Swift Hesperange and AS Jeunesse Esch recent form
Swift Hesperange
0W 0D 6L
AS Jeunesse Esch
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Swift Hesperange at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 3.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 10 matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Swift Hesperange at home only, AS Jeunesse Esch away only.
Swift Hesperange vs AS Jeunesse Esch head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Swift Hesperange 6 · draws 3 · AS Jeunesse Esch 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2025-10-26 | Swift Hesperange | 0-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2025-02-23 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 3-3 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2024-08-24 | Swift Hesperange | 5-1 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2024-05-05 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 0-2 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2024-04-24 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 0-2 | Swift Hesperange | Cup |
| 2023-11-26 | Swift Hesperange | 2-0 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
| 2023-07-22 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 0-1 | Swift Hesperange | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-05-14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 1-1 | Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| 2022-12-10 | Swift Hesperange | 2-0 | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- Swift Hesperange, previous: F91 Dudelange vs Swift Hesperange prediction
- AS Jeunesse Esch, previous: AS Jeunesse Esch v Etzella Ettelbruck analysis
- AS Jeunesse Esch, next: AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03: odds and pick