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National Division · Matchday 11

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen

Alin prediction UN Kaerjeng 97 to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
UN Kaerjeng 97DrawAtert Bissen
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 2.20.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen preview

The fixture between UN Kaerjeng 97 and Atert Bissen shows a 48% chance for UN Kaerjeng 97 to win and a predicted scoreline of 2-1 (6%). Both teams to score stands at 83%, while Over 2.5 goals is projected at 86%. This indicates a strong likelihood of an entertaining match with multiple goals.

However, Atert Bissen has won both of their last two encounters against UN Kaerjeng 97, which could challenge the expected outcome. UN Kaerjeng 97's recent form includes 4 wins out of 6 games, while Atert Bissen has mixed results with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. This unpredictability in Atert Bissen's performance could affect the match dynamics.

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceUN Kaerjeng 97DrawAtert Bissen
Model48%19%33%
Market———
Published48%19%33%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 2.20.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

UN Kaerjeng 97 and Atert Bissen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.63UN Kaerjeng 97
2.20Atert Bissen
Total expected goals
4.83
Attack rating (UN Kaerjeng 97 / Atert Bissen)
1.58 / 1.51
Defence rating (UN Kaerjeng 97 / Atert Bissen)
1.02 / 1.04

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1 1.6% 5.1% 5.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.9% 4.5% 3 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4+ 3.0% 6.6% 7.3% 5.3% 4.9%

Rows: UN Kaerjeng 97 goals. Columns: Atert Bissen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 96%
Over 2.5 86%
Over 3.5 71%
Both teams to score
83%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2UN Kaerjeng 9748%2.08
Draw19%5.18
Atert Bissen33%3.06
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586%1.16
Under 2.514%7.16
Both teams to scoreYes83%1.21
No17%5.87
Double chance1X (UN Kaerjeng 97 or draw)67%1.48
12 (either side)81%1.24
X2 (draw or Atert Bissen)52%1.92
Handicap -1UN Kaerjeng 97 win by 2+31%3.26
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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UN Kaerjeng 97 and Atert Bissen recent form

UN Kaerjeng 97 5W 0D 1L
Atert Bissen 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

UN Kaerjeng 97 at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
4.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Atert Bissen away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.60
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: UN Kaerjeng 97 at home only, Atert Bissen away only.

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: UN Kaerjeng 97 0 · draws 0 · Atert Bissen 2.

UN Kaerjeng 97DrawsAtert Bissen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-12UN Kaerjeng 971-2Atert BissenNational Division
2025-10-19Atert Bissen1-0UN Kaerjeng 97National Division

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot UN Kaerjeng 97 to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on UN Kaerjeng 97