US Hostert vs UNA Strassen preview
In the fixture between US Hostert and UNA Strassen, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong lean towards UNA Strassen at 61%, compared to US Hostert's 14%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which reflects UNA Strassen's expected goals of 1.79 against US Hostert's 0.74.
While UNA Strassen's recent form shows 6 matches without a loss, US Hostert has struggled with 4 losses in their last 6 games. However, the possibility of Over 2.5 goals stands at 46%, and both teams to score is at 44%, suggesting that if US Hostert can improve their attacking output, the match could see more goals than expected.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen: model vs market
| Source | US Hostert | Draw | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| Published | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on UNA Strassen, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | 6.00 | 6.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.00 |
| UNA Strassen | 1.41 | 1.41 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
US Hostert and UNA Strassen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.52
- Attack rating (US Hostert / UNA Strassen)
- 0.93 / 1.08
- Defence rating (US Hostert / UNA Strassen)
- 1.16 / 0.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: US Hostert goals. Columns: UNA Strassen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for US Hostert vs UNA Strassen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Hostert | 15% | 6.79 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.53 | |
| UNA Strassen | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| No | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (US Hostert or draw) | 37% | 2.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or UNA Strassen) | 85% | 1.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win by 2+ | 36% | 2.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
US Hostert and UNA Strassen recent form
US Hostert
1W 2D 3L
UNA Strassen
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
US Hostert at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
UNA Strassen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: US Hostert at home only, UNA Strassen away only.
US Hostert vs UNA Strassen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: US Hostert 2 · draws 2 · UNA Strassen 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | US Hostert | 1-0 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2025-08-31 | UNA Strassen | 4-0 | US Hostert | National Division |
| 2025-03-12 | US Hostert | 1-2 | UNA Strassen | Cup |
| 2025-03-02 | US Hostert | 2-2 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2024-09-01 | UNA Strassen | 2-1 | US Hostert | National Division |
| 2023-04-16 | UNA Strassen | 2-0 | US Hostert | National Division |
| 2022-11-06 | US Hostert | 1-0 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2022-05-08 | UNA Strassen | 4-0 | US Hostert | National Division |
| 2021-12-05 | US Hostert | 1-1 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
| 2021-04-21 | US Hostert | 2-4 | UNA Strassen | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- US Hostert, previous: Atert Bissen v US Hostert analysis
- UNA Strassen, previous: UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: odds and pick