Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange preview
In the National Division match between Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange, the 1X2 probabilities show Victoria Rosport at 36%, a draw at 20%, and Résidence Walferdange at 44%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs at a 6% probability.
The model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams to score at 81%. Victoria Rosport has expected goals of 2.18, while Résidence Walferdange stands at 2.40. However, the recent form indicates inconsistency, with Victoria Rosport's last five matches yielding two draws and three losses, while Résidence Walferdange has had three wins and two losses.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange: model vs market
| Source | Victoria Rosport | Draw | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Published | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +2% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Résidence Walferdange, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rosport | 2.41 | 2.41 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.58 | +0.00 |
| Résidence Walferdange | 2.37 | 2.37 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.58
- Attack rating (Victoria Rosport / Résidence Walferdange)
- 1.09 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Victoria Rosport / Résidence Walferdange)
- 1.46 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Victoria Rosport goals. Columns: Résidence Walferdange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Victoria Rosport | 37% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Résidence Walferdange | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 6.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.23 |
| No | 19% | 5.33 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Victoria Rosport or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Résidence Walferdange) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win by 2+ | 27% | 3.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Victoria Rosport and Résidence Walferdange recent form
Victoria Rosport
1W 2D 3L
Résidence Walferdange
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Victoria Rosport at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Résidence Walferdange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Victoria Rosport at home only, Résidence Walferdange away only.
Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Victoria Rosport 1 · draws 0 · Résidence Walferdange 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Victoria Rosport | 3-2 | Résidence Walferdange | Friendlies Clubs |
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Before and after this match
- Victoria Rosport, previous: Victoria Rosport – FC Differdange 03, 2026-10-18
- Victoria Rosport, next: F91 Dudelange vs Victoria Rosport prediction
- Résidence Walferdange, previous: Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange: odds and pick