Wiltz vs US Rumelange preview
In the National Division match between Wiltz and US Rumelange, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a 45% chance for Wiltz to win, while US Rumelange has a 34% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with expected goals of 2.28 for Wiltz and 1.98 for US Rumelange.
Both teams show poor recent form, with Wiltz losing their last 6 matches and US Rumelange drawing once and then losing 5 in a row. This could affect the predicted outcome, as both teams to score has a high probability of 78% and Over 2.5 goals stands at 80%. If either team improves their form, the match dynamics could shift significantly.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange: model vs market
| Source | Wiltz | Draw | US Rumelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Wiltz and US Rumelange expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.26
- Attack rating (Wiltz / US Rumelange)
- 0.88 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Wiltz / US Rumelange)
- 1.59 / 1.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wiltz goals. Columns: US Rumelange goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wiltz vs US Rumelange
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiltz | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.74 | |
| US Rumelange | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.28 |
| No | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wiltz or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or US Rumelange) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wiltz win by 2+ | 27% | 3.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wiltz and US Rumelange recent form
Wiltz
0W 0D 6L
US Rumelange
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wiltz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
US Rumelange away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wiltz at home only, US Rumelange away only.
Wiltz vs US Rumelange head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Wiltz 0 · draws 2 · US Rumelange 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-21 | Wiltz | 0-1 | US Rumelange | National Division |
| 2015-08-09 | US Rumelange | 1-1 | Wiltz | National Division |
| 2015-03-08 | US Rumelange | 4-0 | Wiltz | National Division |
| 2014-08-22 | Wiltz | 0-1 | US Rumelange | National Division |
| 2014-03-09 | Wiltz | 4-4 | US Rumelange | National Division |
| 2013-08-18 | US Rumelange | 1-0 | Wiltz | National Division |
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Before and after this match
- Wiltz, previous: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz prediction
- US Rumelange, previous: Résidence Walferdange vs US Rumelange: odds and pick