Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains preview
In the match between Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains, the 1X2 probabilities show Racing FC Union Luxembourg at 46%, while US Mondorf-les-bains is at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects a close contest. Both teams to score stands at 68%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 67%, indicating a potential for an open game.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg's recent form shows 3 draws and 2 wins, while US Mondorf-les-bains has 4 wins in their last 6 matches. This could impact the outcome, especially if US Mondorf-les-bains maintains their winning momentum. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains: model vs market
| Source | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Draw | US Mondorf-les-bains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Published | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
- The market prices Racing FC Union Luxembourg below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Racing FC Union Luxembourg, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 2.64 | 2.64 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Racing FC Union Luxembourg / US Mondorf-les-bains)
- 1.41 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Racing FC Union Luxembourg / US Mondorf-les-bains)
- 0.89 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals. Columns: US Mondorf-les-bains goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 37% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Racing FC Union Luxembourg or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or US Mondorf-les-bains) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg win by 2+ | 26% | 3.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2W 4D 0L
US Mondorf-les-bains
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Racing FC Union Luxembourg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 3.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Racing FC Union Luxembourg at home only, US Mondorf-les-bains away only.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Racing FC Union Luxembourg 7 · draws 1 · US Mondorf-les-bains 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 1-3 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2025-09-14 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 0-2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| 2025-03-16 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 0-1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2024-09-21 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 3-0 | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| 2024-05-26 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1-1 | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| 2023-08-06 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 1-3 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2023-04-26 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 1-0 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | Cup |
| 2023-02-12 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 0-1 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
| 2022-08-13 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 1-0 | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| 2022-04-10 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 2-3 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Progres Niederkorn — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FC Differdange 03 vs F91 Dudelange 2026-10-25
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Atert Bissen — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Victoria Rosport vs Résidence Walferdange 2026-10-25
- US Hostert v UNA Strassen — match page 2026-10-25
- Wiltz vs US Rumelange 2026-10-25
- Swift Hesperange v AS Jeunesse Esch — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg, previous: UNA Strassen vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: odds and pick
- US Mondorf-les-bains, previous: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz prediction