Updated

Eliteserien · Matchday 23

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK

· Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata· Referee Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Full time3 – 1

Alin prediction was Bodo/Glimt to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 3 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Bodo/GlimtDrawKristiansund BK

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBodo/GlimtDrawKristiansund BK
Model80%11%9%
Market88%7%4%
Published86%8%5%
Edge-2%+1%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.79 vs 1.38.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 1.06Now 1.06 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Bodo/Glimt1.061.06+0.00
Draw13.0012.50-0.50
Kristiansund BK22.4122.50+0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.79Bodo/Glimt
1.38Kristiansund BK
Total expected goals
5.18
Attack rating (Bodo/Glimt / Kristiansund BK)
1.67 / 0.97
Defence rating (Bodo/Glimt / Kristiansund BK)
1.05 / 1.26

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 1 1.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 2 4.1% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 3 5.1% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 1.1% 4+ 13.1% 18.2% 12.6% 5.8% 2.7%

Rows: Bodo/Glimt goals. Columns: Kristiansund BK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 97%
Over 2.5 89%
Over 3.5 76%
Both teams to score
74%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bodo/Glimt86%1.16
Draw8%11.87
Kristiansund BK5%18.72
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.589%1.12
Under 2.511%9.03
Both teams to scoreYes74%1.36
No26%3.78
Double chance1X (Bodo/Glimt or draw)95%1.06
12 (either side)92%1.09
X2 (draw or Kristiansund BK)14%7.26
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win by 2+65%1.55
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK recent form

Bodo/Glimt 4W 0D 2L
Kristiansund BK 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bodo/Glimt at home

Record (W-D-L)
9-0-1
Win rate
90%
Goals for / match
3.10
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
6 of 10
  • They have won 16 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kristiansund BK away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-8
Win rate
9%
Goals for / match
0.73
Goals against / match
2.36
Clean sheets
0 of 11
  • They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Bodo/Glimt at home only, Kristiansund BK away only.

Injuries & availability

Bodo/Glimt absences

  • A. Mikkelsen groin injury
  • H. Evjen knee injury
  • I. Sjong injury
  • M. Riisnaes knee injury

Kristiansund BK absences

  • I. H. Aalberg groin injury
  • S. Svendsen injury
  • Z. Bytyqi groin injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Bodo/Glimt lineup

  1. 15 F. Bjørkan
  2. 20 F. Sjøvold
  3. 6 J. Gundersen
  4. 10 J. Hauge
  5. 12 N. Haikin
  6. 4 O. Bjørtuft
  7. 17 O. Brynhildsen
  8. 11 O. Didrik Blomberg
  9. 7 P. Berg
  10. 8 S. Auklend
  11. 19 S. Fet

Bench: J. Faye Lund, V. Nielsen, H. Aleesami, U. Saltnes, A. Helmersen, J. Mvuka, I. Määttä, K. Solhaug

Kristiansund BK lineup

  1. 16 D. Tufekcic
  2. 5 D. Ulvestad
  3. 24 G. Christensen
  4. 10 H. Bruseth
  5. 6 J. Isaksen
  6. 4 J. Júlíusson
  7. 19 L. Alvheim
  8. 59 M. Elvius
  9. 1 M. Lansing
  10. 23 T. Svendsen
  11. 20 W. Igor

Bench: F. Flex, E. Isufi, A. Sæther, S. Skeide, M. Williamsen, H. Haugen, J. Kitolano, A. Rønning

Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Bodo/Glimt 7 · draws 1 · Kristiansund BK 0.

Bodo/GlimtDrawsKristiansund BK
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-06Kristiansund BK0-3Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2025-09-12Bodo/Glimt7-1Kristiansund BKEliteserien
2025-07-05Kristiansund BK1-1Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2024-09-29Bodo/Glimt4-0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
2024-05-12Kristiansund BK2-4Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2022-10-23Bodo/Glimt5-0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
2022-06-18Kristiansund BK0-2Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2021-08-22Bodo/Glimt3-0Kristiansund BKEliteserien

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Before and after this match