Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK: model vs market
| Source | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Kristiansund BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| Market | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| Published | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| Edge | -8% | +4% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.80 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.09, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 13.00 | 13.00 | +0.00 |
| Kristiansund BK | 22.41 | 21.00 | -1.41 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.18
- Attack rating (Bodo/Glimt / Kristiansund BK)
- 1.67 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Bodo/Glimt / Kristiansund BK)
- 1.05 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bodo/Glimt goals. Columns: Kristiansund BK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 86% | 1.16 |
| Draw | 8% | 12.19 | |
| Kristiansund BK | 6% | 18.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89% | 1.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 11% | 9.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.36 |
| No | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bodo/Glimt or draw) | 94% | 1.06 |
| 12 (either side) | 92% | 1.09 | |
| X2 (draw or Kristiansund BK) | 14% | 7.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win by 2+ | 65% | 1.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bodo/Glimt and Kristiansund BK recent form
Bodo/Glimt
4W 0D 2L
Kristiansund BK
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bodo/Glimt at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-0-1
- Win rate
- 90%
- Goals for / match
- 3.10
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
- They have won 16 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kristiansund BK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-8
- Win rate
- 9%
- Goals for / match
- 0.73
- Goals against / match
- 2.36
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bodo/Glimt at home only, Kristiansund BK away only.
Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Bodo/Glimt 2 · draws 1 · Kristiansund BK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Kristiansund BK | 0-3 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2025-09-12 | Bodo/Glimt | 7-1 | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| 2025-07-05 | Kristiansund BK | 1-1 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
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