Brann vs Viking preview
Brann faces Viking in the Eliteserien, with Viking holding a 43% chance to win compared to Brann's 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Viking's expected goals of 1.78, higher than Brann's 1.47.
The match could see Over 2.5 goals, with a 63% probability, and both teams to score at 65%. However, Brann's recent form shows inconsistency with two wins and three losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance against a Viking side that has won five of their last six games. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Brann vs Viking: model vs market
| Source | Brann | Draw | Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Published | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.28, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Brann vs Viking odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Viking, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 2.78 | 2.76 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.81 | 3.80 | -0.01 |
| Viking | 2.21 | 2.20 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Brann and Viking expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.25
- Attack rating (Brann / Viking)
- 1.12 / 1.56
- Defence rating (Brann / Viking)
- 0.84 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Brann vs Viking score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Brann goals. Columns: Viking goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Brann vs Viking goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Brann vs Viking
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Viking | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Brann or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Viking) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win by 2+ | 24% | 4.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Brann and Viking recent form
Brann
3W 1D 2L
Viking
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brann at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-5
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.82
- Goals against / match
- 1.45
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viking away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-3
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.45
- Goals against / match
- 0.91
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 11
- They have won 16 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Brann at home only, Viking away only.
Brann vs Viking head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Brann 1 · draws 3 · Viking 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Viking | 3-2 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2025-10-05 | Viking | 3-0 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2025-07-13 | Brann | 3-1 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2025-02-14 | Brann | 2-2 | Viking | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-12-01 | Brann | 1-1 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2024-04-14 | Viking | 1-1 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2023-07-30 | Brann | 0-2 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2023-06-24 | Viking | 3-1 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2021-10-28 | Brann | 0-2 | Viking | Eliteserien |
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