KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.67.
• Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
• The market prices KFUM Oslo below the model: +19.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.82, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga odds movement

Median bookmaker price on KFUM Oslo, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

4.06

Attack rating (KFUM Oslo / Valerenga)

1.03 / 1.45

Defence rating (KFUM Oslo / Valerenga)

0.85 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: KFUM Oslo goals. Columns: Valerenga goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

74%

No goals (0–0)

2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga recent form

KFUM Oslo WWWLLW 4W 0D 2L

Valerenga DWLDLW 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: KFUM Oslo at home only, Valerenga away only.