Tromso vs KFUM Oslo preview
Tromso faces KFUM Oslo with a 57% chance of winning compared to 20% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.74 for Tromso and 1.50 for KFUM Oslo. Both teams to score has a 65% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 63%.
Recent form shows Tromso with 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while KFUM Oslo has won 4 of their last 6. This disparity in form could impact the outcome. Additionally, Tromso has a slight edge in their head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 4 encounters. However, a draw or a surprise win for KFUM Oslo could challenge the predicted scoreline.
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo: model vs market
| Source | Tromso | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Published | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Edge | -20% | +3% | +17% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Tromso, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 1.52 | 1.53 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.32 | 4.15 | -0.17 |
| KFUM Oslo | 5.89 | 5.50 | -0.39 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Tromso and KFUM Oslo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.24
- Attack rating (Tromso / KFUM Oslo)
- 1.14 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Tromso / KFUM Oslo)
- 1.07 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tromso goals. Columns: KFUM Oslo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| KFUM Oslo | 21% | 4.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tromso or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or KFUM Oslo) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win by 2+ | 22% | 4.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tromso and KFUM Oslo recent form
Tromso
2W 2D 2L
KFUM Oslo
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tromso at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-1
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.91
- Goals against / match
- 0.82
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 11
- They have won 11 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
KFUM Oslo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-6
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tromso at home only, KFUM Oslo away only.
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Tromso 2 · draws 1 · KFUM Oslo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | KFUM Oslo | 0-0 | Tromso | Eliteserien |
| 2026-03-07 | KFUM Oslo | 2-1 | Tromso | NM Cupen |
| 2025-08-31 | Tromso | 2-0 | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| 2025-05-11 | KFUM Oslo | 1-3 | Tromso | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Kristiansund BK v Aalesund — match page 2026-10-17
- Viking v Fredrikstad — match page 2026-10-17
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg 2026-10-18
- Valerenga vs Brann 2026-10-18
- Molde v Start — match page 2026-10-18
- Sandefjord vs Lillestrom — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Tromso, previous: Fredrikstad – Tromso, 2026-10-11
- Tromso, next: Tromso vs Haugesund: odds and pick
- KFUM Oslo, previous: KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga prediction
- KFUM Oslo, next: Viking v KFUM Oslo analysis