Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt preview
In the Eliteserien fixture between Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt, the 1X2 probabilities show Bodo/Glimt at 72%, while Ham-Kam sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-3, which reflects Bodo/Glimt's stronger attack with expected goals of 2.92 compared to Ham-Kam's 2.10.
Both teams to score stands at 83%, and Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 88%. However, Ham-Kam's recent form includes 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Bodo/Glimt has a better recent record with 4 wins in 6, but unexpected events like a red card or injuries could alter the match outcome.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt: model vs market
| Source | Ham-Kam | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| Market | 9% | 13% | 77% |
| Published | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| Edge | +18% | +5% | -22% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.92 vs 2.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 10.87 | 10.00 | -0.87 |
| Draw | 7.00 | 7.00 | +0.00 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.03
- Attack rating (Ham-Kam / Bodo/Glimt)
- 1.13 / 1.66
- Defence rating (Ham-Kam / Bodo/Glimt)
- 1.29 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ham-Kam goals. Columns: Bodo/Glimt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 83%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ham-Kam | 14% | 7.29 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.91 | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88% | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 12% | 8.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 83% | 1.20 |
| No | 17% | 6.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ham-Kam or draw) | 28% | 3.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodo/Glimt) | 86% | 1.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win by 2+ | 37% | 2.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt recent form
Ham-Kam
2W 1D 3L
Bodo/Glimt
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ham-Kam at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.70
- Goals against / match
- 1.90
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodo/Glimt away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-2
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 11
- They have won 17 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ham-Kam at home only, Bodo/Glimt away only.
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Ham-Kam 1 · draws 2 · Bodo/Glimt 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Bodo/Glimt | 3-0 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2025-08-03 | Ham-Kam | 1-3 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2025-04-05 | Bodo/Glimt | 3-0 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2024-09-13 | Bodo/Glimt | 3-0 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2024-05-20 | Ham-Kam | 1-0 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2023-09-03 | Ham-Kam | 4-4 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2023-07-13 | Ham-Kam | 0-2 | Bodo/Glimt | NM Cupen |
| 2023-06-11 | Bodo/Glimt | 3-0 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2022-08-20 | Bodo/Glimt | 2-2 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2022-07-16 | Ham-Kam | 0-2 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
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- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg 2026-10-18
- Valerenga vs Brann 2026-10-18
- Molde v Start — match page 2026-10-18
- Sandefjord vs Lillestrom — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Tromso vs KFUM Oslo — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Ham-Kam, previous: Start v Ham-Kam analysis
- Ham-Kam, next: Rosenborg – Ham-Kam, 2026-10-28
- Bodo/Glimt, previous: Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
- Bodo/Glimt, next: Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction