Atletico Grau vs Universitario preview
Atletico Grau faces Universitario with a 39% chance of an away win compared to Atletico Grau's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with both teams to score at 63%. Atletico Grau's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Universitario has 3 wins in their last 6.
The expected goals are close, with Atletico Grau at 1.52 and Universitario at 1.59, indicating a competitive match. However, Atletico Grau's inconsistent performance could lead to an unexpected result. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario: model vs market
| Source | Atletico Grau | Draw | Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Atletico Grau and Universitario expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Atletico Grau / Universitario)
- 0.90 / 1.48
- Defence rating (Atletico Grau / Universitario)
- 1.01 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Atletico Grau goals. Columns: Universitario goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Atletico Grau vs Universitario
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Grau | 35% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Universitario | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Atletico Grau or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Universitario) | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario win by 2+ | 20% | 5.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Atletico Grau and Universitario recent form
Atletico Grau
1W 2D 3L
Universitario
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Atletico Grau at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-4
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Universitario away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.47
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Grau at home only, Universitario away only.
Atletico Grau vs Universitario head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Atletico Grau 1 · draws 0 · Universitario 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Universitario | 0-1 | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-08-01 | Universitario | 3-1 | Atletico Grau | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-06-26 | Atletico Grau | 0-2 | Universitario | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Alianza Atletico v Juan Pablo II College — match page 2026-10-31
- UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page 2026-11-01
- Cusco vs Sport Boys 2026-11-01
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca 2026-11-02
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT 2026-11-03
- Alianza Lima v Cienciano — match page 2026-11-04
Before and after this match
- Atletico Grau, previous: Cienciano vs Atletico Grau prediction
- Universitario, previous: Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College prediction
- Universitario, next: Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction