Cusco vs Sport Boys preview
In the match between Cusco and Sport Boys, the 1X2 probabilities show Cusco at 51%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model suggests a strong chance of Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
However, Cusco's recent form includes three wins and two losses, while Sport Boys has two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last six matches. This inconsistency could impact the expected goals, with Cusco at 1.82 and Sport Boys at 1.21. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Cusco vs Sport Boys: model vs market
| Source | Cusco | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Cusco and Sport Boys expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Cusco / Sport Boys)
- 1.19 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Cusco / Sport Boys)
- 1.06 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cusco vs Sport Boys score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cusco goals. Columns: Sport Boys goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cusco vs Sport Boys goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cusco vs Sport Boys
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cusco | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Sport Boys | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cusco or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Boys) | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cusco win by 2+ | 29% | 3.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cusco and Sport Boys recent form
Cusco
3W 0D 3L
Sport Boys
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cusco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-3
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 9 penalties (56%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-9
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Cusco at home only, Sport Boys away only.
Cusco vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Cusco 2 · draws 0 · Sport Boys 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sport Boys | 1-0 | Cusco | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-11-07 | Cusco | 3-0 | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-07-06 | Sport Boys | 1-2 | Cusco | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
- Alianza Atletico v Juan Pablo II College — match page 2026-10-31
- UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page 2026-11-01
- Atletico Grau vs Universitario — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca 2026-11-02
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT 2026-11-03
- Alianza Lima v Cienciano — match page 2026-11-04
Before and after this match
- Cusco, previous: Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Cusco, 2026-10-29
- Sport Boys, previous: Sport Boys – FC Cajamarca, 2026-10-25
- Sport Boys, next: Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction