Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo preview
Cienciano faces Sport Huancayo with a 49% chance of winning compared to 26% for each of their opponents. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.75 for Cienciano and 1.22 for Sport Huancayo. With both teams showing recent form—Cienciano with W-L-W-W-D-L and Sport Huancayo on a six-match winning streak—this match could be competitive.
The model suggests a 57% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score. However, if Cienciano's defense falters or Sport Huancayo's attack continues its strong run, these predictions could change. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.
Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo: model vs market
| Source | Cienciano | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 31% |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cienciano, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 2.51 | 2.15 | -0.36 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.46 | +0.08 |
| Sport Huancayo | 2.63 | 3.00 | +0.37 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cienciano and Sport Huancayo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Cienciano / Sport Huancayo)
- 1.05 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Cienciano / Sport Huancayo)
- 0.95 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cienciano goals. Columns: Sport Huancayo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cienciano | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Sport Huancayo | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cienciano or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Huancayo) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cienciano win by 2+ | 20% | 4.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cienciano and Sport Huancayo recent form
Cienciano
3W 1D 2L
Sport Huancayo
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cienciano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-3-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.94
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Sport Huancayo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-10
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.94
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cienciano at home only, Sport Huancayo away only.
Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Cienciano 1 · draws 1 · Sport Huancayo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Sport Huancayo | 2-2 | Cienciano | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-09-21 | Sport Huancayo | 5-2 | Cienciano | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-04-29 | Cienciano | 2-1 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
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- ADT vs Sporting Cristal — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Cajamarca v Alianza Atletico — match page 2026-11-07
- FBC Melgar v Juan Pablo II College — match page 2026-11-07
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Alianza Lima — match page 2026-11-08
- Sport Boys vs UTC Cajamarca 2026-11-08
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos 2026-11-08
- Universitario vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Cienciano, previous: Alianza Lima vs Cienciano: odds and pick
- Sport Huancayo, previous: Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar prediction