Updated

Peru Primera División · Clausura - 14

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco

· Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas

Alin prediction Cusco to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Club Deportivo Los ChankasDrawCusco
  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco preview

In the fixture between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco, the 1X2 probabilities show Cusco at 38% to win and Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 62% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%.

Recent form indicates Club Deportivo Los Chankas has struggled, with 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Cusco has 3 wins in their last 5. The expected goals are close, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 1.47 and Cusco at 1.54. A surprising result could occur if Club Deportivo Los Chankas improves their form or if Cusco underperforms.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClub Deportivo Los ChankasDrawCusco
Model35%26%39%
Market———
Published35%26%39%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.47Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1.55Cusco
Total expected goals
3.01
Attack rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / Cusco)
0.84 / 1.09
Defence rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / Cusco)
1.34 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 6.5% 5.9% 3.0% 1.6% 1 6.1% 12.3% 8.6% 4.4% 2.4% 2 5.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.8% 3 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.9% 4+ 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Club Deportivo Los Chankas goals. Columns: Cusco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Club Deportivo Los Chankas35%2.85
Draw26%3.78
Cusco39%2.60
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.72
Under 2.542%2.38
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.61
Double chance1X (Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw)61%1.63
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Cusco)65%1.54
Handicap -1Cusco win by 2+19%5.14
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco recent form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1W 2D 3L
Cusco 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home

Record (W-D-L)
10-1-4
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.73
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
5 of 15
  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.

Cusco away

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-9
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
2.07
Clean sheets
0 of 15
  • They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 9 penalties (56%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home only, Cusco away only.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1 · draws 2 · Cusco 0.

Club Deportivo Los ChankasDrawsCusco
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-10Cusco1-1Club Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera División
2025-10-04Club Deportivo Los Chankas2-1CuscoPeru Primera División
2025-05-17Cusco3-3Club Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera División

Other Clausura - 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Cusco to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Cusco