Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco preview
In the fixture between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco, the 1X2 probabilities show Cusco at 38% to win and Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 62% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%.
Recent form indicates Club Deportivo Los Chankas has struggled, with 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Cusco has 3 wins in their last 5. The expected goals are close, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 1.47 and Cusco at 1.54. A surprising result could occur if Club Deportivo Los Chankas improves their form or if Cusco underperforms.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco: model vs market
| Source | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Draw | Cusco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.01
- Attack rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / Cusco)
- 0.84 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / Cusco)
- 1.34 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Deportivo Los Chankas goals. Columns: Cusco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Cusco | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Cusco) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cusco win by 2+ | 19% | 5.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Cusco recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-4
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
Cusco away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-9
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.07
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 9 penalties (56%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home only, Cusco away only.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Cusco head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1 · draws 2 · Cusco 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Cusco | 1-1 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-10-04 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 2-1 | Cusco | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-05-17 | Cusco | 3-3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
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- ADT vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats 2026-10-28
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Before and after this match
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas, previous: Deportivo Garcilaso v Club Deportivo Los Chankas analysis
- Cusco, previous: Cusco – Sporting Cristal, 2026-10-24