Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo preview
Juan Pablo II College faces Sport Huancayo with a 59% chance to win and a predicted scoreline of 2-1, which has a 10% likelihood. Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Juan Pablo II College recording 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Sport Huancayo has won all 6 of their recent games.
However, Sport Huancayo has a perfect record in their last 3 encounters, winning all matches against Juan Pablo II College. This could challenge the expectation of a home victory. Additionally, the model suggests a 59% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for a high-scoring match.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo: model vs market
| Source | Juan Pablo II College | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.06.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Huancayo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Juan Pablo II College / Sport Huancayo)
- 1.31 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Juan Pablo II College / Sport Huancayo)
- 0.87 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Juan Pablo II College goals. Columns: Sport Huancayo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juan Pablo II College | 58% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Sport Huancayo | 18% | 5.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Juan Pablo II College or draw) | 82% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Huancayo) | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Juan Pablo II College win by 2+ | 36% | 2.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Huancayo recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Juan Pablo II College at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Huancayo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-9
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.93
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Juan Pablo II College at home only, Sport Huancayo away only.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Juan Pablo II College 0 · draws 0 · Sport Huancayo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Sport Huancayo | 2-1 | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-07-25 | Sport Huancayo | 5-1 | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-02-16 | Juan Pablo II College | 0-1 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
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Before and after this match
- Juan Pablo II College, previous: Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College prediction
- Sport Huancayo, previous: Sport Huancayo v Alianza Atletico analysis