Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia preview
In the Ekstraklasa fixture between Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia, the probabilities show Wieczysta Kraków at 43%, Jagiellonia at 32%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. The model also indicates a 59% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Wieczysta Kraków with L-L-L-W-D-L and Jagiellonia at W-L-L-W-L-L. Wieczysta Kraków has expected goals of 1.68, while Jagiellonia has 1.39. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that while predictions are made, there is a level of uncertainty that could affect the outcome.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia: model vs market
| Source | Wieczysta Kraków | Draw | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| Published | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wieczysta Kraków, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.23 | 2.13 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.80 | +0.16 |
| Jagiellonia | 2.80 | 2.88 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (Wieczysta Kraków / Jagiellonia)
- 0.94 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Wieczysta Kraków / Jagiellonia)
- 1.25 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wieczysta Kraków goals. Columns: Jagiellonia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Jagiellonia | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wieczysta Kraków or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Jagiellonia) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wieczysta Kraków win by 2+ | 23% | 4.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wieczysta Kraków and Jagiellonia recent form
Wieczysta Kraków
1W 1D 4L
Jagiellonia
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wieczysta Kraków at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Jagiellonia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wieczysta Kraków at home only, Jagiellonia away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin — match page 2026-10-30
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa 2026-10-30
- Wisla Plock v Piast Gliwice — match page 2026-10-31
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow 2026-10-31
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw — match page 2026-11-02
- Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Wieczysta Kraków, previous: Slask Wroclaw v Wieczysta Kraków analysis
- Jagiellonia, previous: Lechia Gdansk – Jagiellonia, 2026-10-28
- Jagiellonia, next: Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia analysis