Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice preview
In the Ekstraklasa fixture between Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice, the 1X2 probabilities show Wisla Plock at 41%, Piast Gliwice at 33%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% chance according to our model. Wisla Plock has an expected goals figure of 1.17, while Piast Gliwice has a higher expected goals of 1.59.
Both teams to score has a 56% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 52%. Recent form indicates Wisla Plock with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Piast Gliwice has 4 wins in the same span. The confidence grade is C, which suggests uncertainty, meaning unexpected outcomes could arise despite the statistics.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice: model vs market
| Source | Wisla Plock | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 41% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wisla Plock, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 2.17 | 2.04 | -0.13 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | +0.00 |
| Piast Gliwice | 3.03 | 3.30 | +0.27 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Wisla Plock / Piast Gliwice)
- 0.80 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Wisla Plock / Piast Gliwice)
- 1.04 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wisla Plock goals. Columns: Piast Gliwice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Plock | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Piast Gliwice | 33% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wisla Plock or draw) | 67% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Piast Gliwice) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wisla Plock win by 2+ | 11% | 8.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wisla Plock and Piast Gliwice recent form
Wisla Plock
3W 1D 2L
Piast Gliwice
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wisla Plock at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wisla Plock at home only, Piast Gliwice away only.
Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Wisla Plock 1 · draws 0 · Piast Gliwice 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Piast Gliwice | 1-0 | Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-08-01 | Wisla Plock | 2-0 | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin — match page 2026-10-30
- Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa 2026-10-30
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow 2026-10-31
- GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Radomiak Radom v Slask Wroclaw — match page 2026-11-02
- Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Wisla Plock, previous: Puszcza Niepołomice v Wisla Plock analysis
- Piast Gliwice, previous: Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze: odds and pick