Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice preview
In the Ekstraklasa fixture between Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice, the 1X2 probabilities show Piast Gliwice at 47%, compared to Slask Wroclaw's 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The model also indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
Slask Wroclaw's recent form is concerning, with six games resulting in five losses and one win. In contrast, Piast Gliwice has a more stable record, with two wins and three draws in their last five matches. This difference in form could impact the match outcome, but unexpected performances could alter the expected results.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice: model vs market
| Source | Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Published | 34% | 26% | 41% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Piast Gliwice below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Piast Gliwice, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.42 | 2.55 | +0.13 |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.54 | -0.02 |
| Piast Gliwice | 2.55 | 2.46 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Slask Wroclaw / Piast Gliwice)
- 0.96 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Slask Wroclaw / Piast Gliwice)
- 1.33 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slask Wroclaw goals. Columns: Piast Gliwice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slask Wroclaw | 34% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Piast Gliwice | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slask Wroclaw or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Piast Gliwice) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Piast Gliwice win by 2+ | 29% | 3.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slask Wroclaw and Piast Gliwice recent form
Slask Wroclaw
1W 0D 5L
Piast Gliwice
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slask Wroclaw at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Piast Gliwice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slask Wroclaw at home only, Piast Gliwice away only.
Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Slask Wroclaw 1 · draws 4 · Piast Gliwice 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-3 | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-12-03 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-1 | Piast Gliwice | Cup |
| 2024-07-28 | Piast Gliwice | 2-0 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-03-30 | Piast Gliwice | 2-2 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-09-23 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-0 | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-04-06 | Slask Wroclaw | 0-1 | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-01-07 | Slask Wroclaw | 0-1 | Piast Gliwice | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-09-16 | Piast Gliwice | 1-1 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| 2022-02-19 | Slask Wroclaw | 1-3 | Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| 2021-08-22 | Piast Gliwice | 1-1 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gornik Zabrze v Wieczysta Kraków — match page 2026-11-07
- Widzew Łódź v Pogon Szczecin — match page 2026-11-07
- Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice 2026-11-08
- Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa 2026-11-08
- Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Slask Wroclaw, previous: Radomiak Radom – Slask Wroclaw, 2026-11-02
- Piast Gliwice, previous: Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice: odds and pick