Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow preview
In the Ekstraklasa fixture between Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow, the 1X2 probabilities show Wisla Krakow at 52%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Wisla Krakow's expected goals stand at 1.84, while Cracovia Krakow has 1.06.
Both teams to score is at 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. Recent form indicates Wisla Krakow has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Cracovia Krakow has only 1 win in their last 5. A draw could affect the outcome, as Cracovia Krakow has shown some resilience despite their recent struggles.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow: model vs market
| Source | Wisla Krakow | Draw | Cracovia Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wisla Krakow, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.87 | 1.79 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.71 | +0.01 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 3.65 | 3.96 | +0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.90
- Attack rating (Wisla Krakow / Cracovia Krakow)
- 0.97 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Wisla Krakow / Cracovia Krakow)
- 0.97 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wisla Krakow goals. Columns: Cracovia Krakow goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wisla Krakow | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Cracovia Krakow | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wisla Krakow or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Cracovia Krakow) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wisla Krakow win by 2+ | 32% | 3.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Wisla Krakow and Cracovia Krakow recent form
Wisla Krakow
3W 1D 2L
Cracovia Krakow
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wisla Krakow at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
Cracovia Krakow away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wisla Krakow at home only, Cracovia Krakow away only.
Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Wisla Krakow 4 · draws 3 · Cracovia Krakow 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-01 | Cracovia Krakow | 0-0 | Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2021-11-07 | Wisla Krakow | 1-0 | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2021-04-24 | Wisla Krakow | 0-0 | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2020-12-04 | Cracovia Krakow | 1-1 | Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2020-03-03 | Cracovia Krakow | 0-2 | Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2019-09-29 | Wisla Krakow | 0-1 | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2019-03-17 | Wisla Krakow | 3-2 | Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| 2018-10-07 | Cracovia Krakow | 0-2 | Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slask Wroclaw v Piast Gliwice — match page 2026-11-07
- Gornik Zabrze v Wieczysta Kraków — match page 2026-11-07
- Widzew Łódź v Pogon Szczecin — match page 2026-11-07
- Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice 2026-11-08
- Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa 2026-11-08
- Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Wisla Krakow, previous: Lech Poznan – Wisla Krakow, 2026-10-31
- Cracovia Krakow, previous: Cracovia Krakow v Motor Lublin analysis