Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom preview
In the fixture between Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom, the 1X2 probabilities show Korona Kielce at 57% to win, while Radomiak Radom sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.05 for Korona Kielce and 1.16 for Radomiak Radom. The model also indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Korona Kielce has a mixed record with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Radomiak Radom is struggling with 6 consecutive losses. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results despite the statistical edge for Korona Kielce.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom: model vs market
| Source | Korona Kielce | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Korona Kielce, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 1.73 | 1.67 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.81 | +0.04 |
| Radomiak Radom | 4.24 | 4.50 | +0.26 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Korona Kielce / Radomiak Radom)
- 0.78 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Korona Kielce / Radomiak Radom)
- 1.11 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Korona Kielce goals. Columns: Radomiak Radom goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Korona Kielce | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Radomiak Radom | 22% | 4.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Korona Kielce or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Radomiak Radom) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Korona Kielce win by 2+ | 25% | 3.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Korona Kielce and Radomiak Radom recent form
Korona Kielce
2W 0D 4L
Radomiak Radom
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Korona Kielce at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radomiak Radom away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Korona Kielce at home only, Radomiak Radom away only.
Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Korona Kielce 6 · draws 1 · Radomiak Radom 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Radomiak Radom | 0-2 | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-08-08 | Korona Kielce | 3-0 | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-03-30 | Korona Kielce | 1-3 | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-09-20 | Radomiak Radom | 4-0 | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-06-26 | Radomiak Radom | 3-0 | Korona Kielce | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-04-19 | Korona Kielce | 4-0 | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-10-22 | Radomiak Radom | 1-1 | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-03-11 | Korona Kielce | 2-1 | Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| 2022-08-27 | Radomiak Radom | 0-2 | Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| 2022-06-22 | Korona Kielce | 1-0 | Radomiak Radom | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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- Wisla Krakow vs Cracovia Krakow — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Slask Wroclaw v Piast Gliwice — match page 2026-11-07
- Gornik Zabrze v Wieczysta Kraków — match page 2026-11-07
- Widzew Łódź v Pogon Szczecin — match page 2026-11-07
- Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice 2026-11-08
- Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa 2026-11-08
- Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Korona Kielce, previous: Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce prediction
- Radomiak Radom, previous: Radomiak Radom – Slask Wroclaw, 2026-11-02