ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie preview
In the upcoming match, ŁKS Łódź holds a 48% probability to win against Podbeskidzie, which stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. ŁKS Łódź has an expected goals figure of 1.21, while Podbeskidzie is at 0.99.
However, recent form shows ŁKS Łódź has struggled with two losses in their last five matches, while Podbeskidzie has managed one win and three draws. This inconsistency could lead to a different outcome than predicted, particularly with both teams to score sitting at 45% and Over 2.5 goals at 38%.
ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie: model vs market
| Source | ŁKS Łódź | Draw | Podbeskidzie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 32% | 29% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Published | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Edge | -13% | +7% | +6% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie odds movement
Median bookmaker price on ŁKS Łódź, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.79 | 1.75 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.73 | +0.07 |
| Podbeskidzie | 3.74 | 3.90 | +0.16 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
ŁKS Łódź and Podbeskidzie expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (ŁKS Łódź / Podbeskidzie)
- 0.81 / 0.86
- Defence rating (ŁKS Łódź / Podbeskidzie)
- 0.86 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ŁKS Łódź goals. Columns: Podbeskidzie goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ŁKS Łódź vs Podbeskidzie
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ŁKS Łódź | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Podbeskidzie | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.20 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ŁKS Łódź or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Podbeskidzie) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | ŁKS Łódź win by 2+ | 18% | 5.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
ŁKS Łódź and Podbeskidzie recent form
ŁKS Łódź
1W 2D 3L
Podbeskidzie
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ŁKS Łódź at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Podbeskidzie away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-5-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: ŁKS Łódź at home only, Podbeskidzie away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Warta Poznań v Unia Skierniewice — match page 2026-10-16
- Ruch Chorzów v Odra Opole — match page 2026-10-16
- Miedz Legnica v Stal Mielec — match page 2026-10-17
- Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa 2026-10-17
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Rzeszów 2026-10-18
- Lechia Gdansk vs Arka Gdynia — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- ŁKS Łódź, previous: ŁKS Łódź – Ruch Chorzów, 2026-10-11
- Podbeskidzie, previous: Podbeskidzie v Pogoń Siedlce analysis