Portimonense vs Torreense preview
In the upcoming match between Portimonense and Torreense, the 1X2 probabilities show Portimonense at 42%, while both Torreense and a draw sit at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance of occurring. Portimonense has an expected goals figure of 1.39, compared to Torreense's 1.12, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
However, Torreense has won both of the last two head-to-head encounters, which could influence the outcome. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 52%, suggesting that Torreense may find the net. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Portimonense vs Torreense: model vs market
| Source | Portimonense | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Portimonense and Torreense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Portimonense / Torreense)
- 0.88 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Portimonense / Torreense)
- 1.03 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Portimonense vs Torreense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Portimonense goals. Columns: Torreense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Portimonense vs Torreense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Portimonense vs Torreense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portimonense | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Torreense | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Portimonense or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Torreense) | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Portimonense win by 2+ | 20% | 4.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Portimonense and Torreense recent form
Portimonense
3W 0D 3L
Torreense
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Portimonense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Torreense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Portimonense at home only, Torreense away only.
Portimonense vs Torreense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Portimonense 0 · draws 0 · Torreense 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Torreense | 1-0 | Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-10-30 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Torreense | Segunda Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Amarante vs FC Porto B — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Leixoes vs Sporting CP B — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Benfica B vs Chaves 2026-10-31
- União de Leiria v AVS — match page 2026-10-31
- Vizela vs Academica 2026-11-01
- Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Portimonense, previous: Sporting CP B vs Portimonense: odds and pick
- Torreense, previous: Torreense – Amarante, 2026-10-26
- Torreense, next: Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction