FC Porto B vs Portimonense preview
In the fixture between FC Porto B and Portimonense, the 1X2 probabilities show Portimonense at 37% and FC Porto B at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.99 for FC Porto B and 1.12 for Portimonense.
However, the recent form suggests variability, with FC Porto B recording L-D-W-D-L-L and Portimonense at D-L-W-W-W-L. While both teams to score stands at 44%, the potential for fewer goals exists, given the low expected goals for FC Porto B. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
FC Porto B vs Portimonense: model vs market
| Source | FC Porto B | Draw | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Published | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Porto B vs Portimonense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Portimonense, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 3.21 | 3.27 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.22 | 3.23 | +0.00 |
| Portimonense | 2.15 | 2.10 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Porto B and Portimonense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (FC Porto B / Portimonense)
- 0.85 / 0.77
- Defence rating (FC Porto B / Portimonense)
- 1.26 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Porto B vs Portimonense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Porto B goals. Columns: Portimonense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Porto B vs Portimonense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Porto B vs Portimonense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto B | 29% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Portimonense | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.29 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Porto B or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Portimonense) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Portimonense win by 2+ | 16% | 6.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Porto B and Portimonense recent form
FC Porto B
1W 2D 3L
Portimonense
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Porto B at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portimonense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Porto B at home only, Portimonense away only.
FC Porto B vs Portimonense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Porto B 1 · draws 0 · Portimonense 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Portimonense | 2-1 | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Porto B | 1-0 | Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- AVS vs Vizela 2026-11-06
- Felgueiras 1932 v Leixoes — match page 2026-11-07
- Chaves vs Penafiel — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Academica v Amarante — match page 2026-11-07
- Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa — match page 2026-11-08
- Farense vs Benfica B 2026-11-08
- Sporting CP B vs Tondela 2026-11-08
- Torreense vs União de Leiria — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- FC Porto B, previous: Amarante v FC Porto B analysis
- Portimonense, previous: Portimonense vs Torreense: odds and pick
- Portimonense, next: Estrela vs Portimonense: odds and pick