AVS vs Vizela preview
In the match between AVS and Vizela, the 1X2 probabilities show AVS at 33%, a draw at 29%, and Vizela at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. AVS has an expected goals of 1.23, while Vizela stands at 0.77, indicating a potential advantage for AVS in scoring.
However, recent form may complicate predictions. AVS has won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Vizela has won only 2 of their last 5. The chances of Over 2.5 goals sit at 32%, and both teams to score is at 39%. This suggests that while AVS may have the upper hand, Vizela's recent form could lead to unexpected results.
AVS vs Vizela: model vs market
| Source | AVS | Draw | Vizela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Published | 34% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | +4% | +1% | -5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AVS vs Vizela odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vizela, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 3.13 | 3.00 | -0.13 |
| Draw | 3.26 | 3.24 | -0.02 |
| Vizela | 2.21 | 2.25 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AVS and Vizela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.01
- Attack rating (AVS / Vizela)
- 1.08 / 0.84
- Defence rating (AVS / Vizela)
- 0.80 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AVS vs Vizela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AVS goals. Columns: Vizela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AVS vs Vizela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AVS vs Vizela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AVS | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Vizela | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.54 |
| No | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AVS or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Vizela) | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vizela win by 2+ | 7% | 14.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AVS and Vizela recent form
AVS
4W 1D 1L
Vizela
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AVS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Vizela away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AVS at home only, Vizela away only.
AVS vs Vizela head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: AVS 2 · draws 1 · Vizela 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | Vizela | 2-2 | AVS | Primeira Liga |
| 2025-05-24 | AVS | 3-0 | Vizela | Primeira Liga |
| 2023-07-28 | AVS | 1-0 | Vizela | Taça da Liga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Felgueiras 1932 v Leixoes — match page 2026-11-07
- Chaves vs Penafiel — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Academica v Amarante — match page 2026-11-07
- Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa — match page 2026-11-08
- FC Porto B vs Portimonense — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Farense vs Benfica B 2026-11-08
- Sporting CP B vs Tondela 2026-11-08
- Torreense vs União de Leiria — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- AVS, previous: União de Leiria – AVS, 2026-10-31
- AVS, next: AVS vs Tondela prediction
- Vizela, previous: Vizela vs Academica prediction