Vizela vs Academica preview
In the fixture between Vizela and Academica, the 1X2 probabilities show Vizela at 37%, Academica at 34%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 6% chance. Both teams to score stands at 50%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 48%.
Vizela's recent form is L-L-L-W-D-W, while Academica has a better run with W-W-W-W-L-L. The expected goals are 0.95 for Vizela and 1.63 for Academica. This suggests that Academica may have the edge in scoring, which could lead to a different outcome than the predicted scoreline.
Vizela vs Academica: model vs market
| Source | Vizela | Draw | Academica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Published | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +6% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vizela vs Academica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vizela, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 2.19 | 2.19 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.19 | 3.19 | +0.00 |
| Academica | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vizela and Academica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Vizela / Academica)
- 0.73 / 1.53
- Defence rating (Vizela / Academica)
- 0.91 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vizela vs Academica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vizela goals. Columns: Academica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vizela vs Academica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vizela vs Academica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vizela | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Academica | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vizela or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Academica) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vizela win by 2+ | 8% | 13.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vizela and Academica recent form
Vizela
2W 1D 3L
Academica
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vizela at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vizela at home only, Academica away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Amarante vs FC Porto B — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Portimonense v Torreense — match page 2026-10-31
- Leixoes vs Sporting CP B — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Benfica B vs Chaves 2026-10-31
- União de Leiria v AVS — match page 2026-10-31
- Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Vizela, previous: Chaves vs Vizela: odds and pick
- Academica, previous: Academica – Leixoes, 2026-10-24