Leixoes vs Sporting CP B preview
In the match between Leixoes and Sporting CP B, the 1X2 probabilities show Leixoes at 42%, draw at 28%, and Sporting CP B at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs at an 8% probability. This suggests a close contest, but the expected goals indicate that Sporting CP B has a slight edge with 1.37 compared to Leixoes' 1.06.
While there is a 44% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, recent form could affect the outcome. Leixoes has lost three of their last five matches, while Sporting CP B has won four of their last five. This form disparity may lead to a different result than the probabilities suggest.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B: model vs market
| Source | Leixoes | Draw | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 26% |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Leixoes, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 2.06 | 1.97 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.28 | 3.32 | +0.04 |
| Sporting CP B | 3.42 | 3.61 | +0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Leixoes and Sporting CP B expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.43
- Attack rating (Leixoes / Sporting CP B)
- 1.11 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Leixoes / Sporting CP B)
- 1.10 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Leixoes goals. Columns: Sporting CP B goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Leixoes vs Sporting CP B
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Sporting CP B | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Leixoes or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Sporting CP B) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Leixoes win by 2+ | 11% | 9.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Leixoes and Sporting CP B recent form
Leixoes
2W 1D 3L
Sporting CP B
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leixoes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP B away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Leixoes at home only, Sporting CP B away only.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Leixoes 1 · draws 0 · Sporting CP B 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Sporting CP B | 0-1 | Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-10-05 | Leixoes | 0-4 | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Amarante vs FC Porto B — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Portimonense v Torreense — match page 2026-10-31
- Benfica B vs Chaves 2026-10-31
- União de Leiria v AVS — match page 2026-10-31
- Vizela vs Academica 2026-11-01
- Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Farense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Leixoes, previous: Academica – Leixoes, 2026-10-24
- Sporting CP B, previous: Sporting CP B vs Portimonense: odds and pick