Updated

Liga II · Matchday 11

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa

· Stadionul Iuliu Bodola, Oradea

Alin prediction Bihor Oradea to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Bihor OradeaDrawCSM Reşiţa
Best market odds
Bihor Oradea2.21 Draw3.50 CSM Reşiţa3.25

Price as of

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa preview

Bihor Oradea hosts CSM Reşiţa with a 57% chance of winning compared to 19% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Bihor Oradea's expected goals of 1.86 against CSM Reşiţa's 0.99. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 54%, indicating a potential for a higher-scoring match.

However, the recent form shows Bihor Oradea has fluctuated with three wins in their last six matches, while CSM Reşiţa has also been inconsistent with four wins in their last six. This unpredictability could affect the outcome, making it possible for CSM Reşiţa to challenge Bihor Oradea despite the odds.

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBihor OradeaDrawCSM Reşiţa
Model57%25%19%
Market41%26%33%
Published45%26%29%
Edge+15%-2%-14%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.99.
  • The market prices Bihor Oradea below the model: +15.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bihor Oradea, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 2.22Now 2.20 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Bihor Oradea2.222.20-0.02
Draw3.503.45-0.05
CSM Reşiţa2.752.76+0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bihor Oradea and CSM Reşiţa expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.85Bihor Oradea
0.99CSM Reşiţa
Total expected goals
2.84
Attack rating (Bihor Oradea / CSM Reşiţa)
1.23 / 0.99
Defence rating (Bihor Oradea / CSM Reşiţa)
0.84 / 0.96

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.9% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 1 9.7% 11.8% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 3 6.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%

Rows: Bihor Oradea goals. Columns: CSM Reşiţa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bihor Oradea45%2.23
Draw26%3.87
CSM Reşiţa29%3.42
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.85
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.85
No46%2.18
Double chance1X (Bihor Oradea or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or CSM Reşiţa)55%1.82
Handicap -1Bihor Oradea win by 2+33%3.00
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Bihor Oradea and CSM Reşiţa recent form

Bihor Oradea 4W 0D 2L
CSM Reşiţa 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bihor Oradea at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
0.40
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.

CSM Reşiţa away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Bihor Oradea at home only, CSM Reşiţa away only.

Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Bihor Oradea 1 · draws 0 · CSM Reşiţa 2.

Bihor OradeaDrawsCSM Reşiţa
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-06CSM Reşiţa2-3Bihor OradeaLiga II
2024-08-30Bihor Oradea2-3CSM ReşiţaLiga II
2024-08-27Bihor Oradea1-3CSM ReşiţaCupa României

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bihor Oradea to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Bihor Oradea