Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa preview
In the Liga II match between Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa, the 1X2 probabilities show Gloria Bistriţa at 71%, while Dumbrăviţa sits at just 9%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which has a 14% chance of occurring. Gloria Bistriţa's expected goals stand at 2.12, compared to Dumbrăviţa's 0.64, indicating a significant attacking advantage for the home side.
However, Dumbrăviţa has a recent form of 5 losses and 1 draw, which could affect their performance. The model suggests a 52% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance for both teams to score. If Dumbrăviţa improves their form or manages to find the net, the outcome could differ from expectations.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa: model vs market
| Source | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.54
- Attack rating (Gloria Bistriţa / Dumbrăviţa)
- 0.90 / 0.57
- Defence rating (Gloria Bistriţa / Dumbrăviţa)
- 1.00 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gloria Bistriţa goals. Columns: Dumbrăviţa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Dumbrăviţa | 12% | 8.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| No | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gloria Bistriţa or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Dumbrăviţa) | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gloria Bistriţa win by 2+ | 40% | 2.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gloria Bistriţa and Dumbrăviţa recent form
Gloria Bistriţa
3W 0D 3L
Dumbrăviţa
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gloria Bistriţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dumbrăviţa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gloria Bistriţa at home only, Dumbrăviţa away only.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Gloria Bistriţa 0 · draws 0 · Dumbrăviţa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Dumbrăviţa | 2-1 | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga II |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Gloria Bistriţa, previous: FC Bacau v Gloria Bistriţa analysis
- Dumbrăviţa, previous: Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea: odds and pick