Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures preview
Viitorul Şelimbăr faces ASA Targu Mures with a 46% probability for an ASA Targu Mures win, compared to 27% for Viitorul Şelimbăr. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.25 for Viitorul Şelimbăr and 1.68 for ASA Targu Mures.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 56%. Viitorul Şelimbăr has struggled recently, recording four losses in their last five matches, whereas ASA Targu Mures has shown better form with three wins in their last five. This recent form could impact the match outcome, making the probabilities less certain.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures: model vs market
| Source | Viitorul Şelimbăr | Draw | ASA Targu Mures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 26% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 26% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Viitorul Şelimbăr / ASA Targu Mures)
- 0.71 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Viitorul Şelimbăr / ASA Targu Mures)
- 1.30 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Viitorul Şelimbăr goals. Columns: ASA Targu Mures goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 27% | 3.64 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| ASA Targu Mures | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Viitorul Şelimbăr or draw) | 54% | 1.86 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or ASA Targu Mures) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | ASA Targu Mures win by 2+ | 25% | 3.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Viitorul Şelimbăr at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ASA Targu Mures away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Viitorul Şelimbăr at home only, ASA Targu Mures away only.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Viitorul Şelimbăr 0 · draws 0 · ASA Targu Mures 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 1-3 | ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
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- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
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Before and after this match
- Viitorul Şelimbăr, previous: Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr prediction
- ASA Targu Mures, previous: ASA Targu Mures – Chindia Targoviste, 2026-10-20