Updated

Liga II · Matchday 11

CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni

· CNF Buftea

Alin prediction Popești-Leordeni to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 3

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CS Dinamo BucureștiDrawPopești-Leordeni

CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni preview

In the Liga II match between CS Dinamo București and Popești-Leordeni, the 1X2 probabilities show Popești-Leordeni at 70%, with a likely scoreline of 1-3. The model indicates a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams to score at 78%.

CS Dinamo București has struggled recently, recording a form of D-L-L-L-L-W, while Popești-Leordeni has performed better with W-L-W-W-D-W. The expected goals suggest CS Dinamo București will score 1.63, but they could fall short if their recent form continues.

CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCS Dinamo BucureștiDrawPopești-Leordeni
Model19%17%64%
Market———
Published19%17%64%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.76.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CS Dinamo București and Popești-Leordeni expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.76CS Dinamo București
3.11Popești-Leordeni
Total expected goals
4.87
Attack rating (CS Dinamo București / Popești-Leordeni)
1.13 / 1.53
Defence rating (CS Dinamo București / Popești-Leordeni)
1.71 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.2% 2.0% 3.7% 3.8% 6.5% 1 0.9% 4.6% 6.5% 6.8% 11.4% 2 1.2% 3.7% 5.8% 6.0% 10.0% 3 0.7% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 4+ 0.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.9%

Rows: CS Dinamo București goals. Columns: Popești-Leordeni goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 96%
Over 2.5 86%
Over 3.5 72%
Both teams to score
80%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CS Dinamo București vs Popești-Leordeni

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CS Dinamo București19%5.21
Draw17%6.03
Popești-Leordeni64%1.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586%1.16
Under 2.514%7.36
Both teams to scoreYes80%1.26
No20%4.90
Double chance1X (CS Dinamo București or draw)36%2.79
12 (either side)83%1.20
X2 (draw or Popești-Leordeni)81%1.24
Handicap -1Popești-Leordeni win by 2+46%2.17
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

CS Dinamo București and Popești-Leordeni recent form

CS Dinamo București 1W 1D 4L
Popești-Leordeni 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CS Dinamo București at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Popești-Leordeni away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: CS Dinamo București at home only, Popești-Leordeni away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Popești-Leordeni to win Predicted score 1 – 3 C Bet on Popești-Leordeni