FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau preview
In the Liga II fixture between FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Politehnica Timisoara at 54% and FC Bacau at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 10% chance of occurring. With expected goals of 1.85 for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 1.08 for FC Bacau, there is a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
However, the recent form indicates some uncertainty. FC Politehnica Timisoara has a record of W-D-W-W-D-W, while FC Bacau has L-D-W-W-D-D. This difference in form could influence the match outcome, making it less predictable despite the statistical edge for FC Politehnica Timisoara.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau: model vs market
| Source | FC Politehnica Timisoara | Draw | FC Bacau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 26% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / FC Bacau)
- 1.30 / 1.31
- Defence rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / FC Bacau)
- 0.75 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Politehnica Timisoara goals. Columns: FC Bacau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| FC Bacau | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| No | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Politehnica Timisoara or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Bacau) | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win by 2+ | 26% | 3.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau recent form
FC Politehnica Timisoara
4W 2D 0L
FC Bacau
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Politehnica Timisoara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Bacau away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Politehnica Timisoara at home only, FC Bacau away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page 2026-10-24
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-10-24
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2026-10-25
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC Politehnica Timisoara, previous: CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica Timisoara analysis
- FC Bacau, previous: FC Bacau v Gloria Bistriţa analysis