Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia preview
In the Liga II match between Unirea Slobozia and Concordia, the 1X2 probabilities show Unirea Slobozia at 43%, while Concordia sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model indicates a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.
Unirea Slobozia's expected goals stand at 1.71, compared to Concordia's 1.43. However, recent form could impact the outcome, as Unirea Slobozia has won only 2 of their last 6 matches, while Concordia has also struggled with 2 wins in their last 6. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.
Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia: model vs market
| Source | Unirea Slobozia | Draw | Concordia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Unirea Slobozia and Concordia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.06
- Attack rating (Unirea Slobozia / Concordia)
- 0.86 / 1.51
- Defence rating (Unirea Slobozia / Concordia)
- 0.90 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Unirea Slobozia goals. Columns: Concordia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Unirea Slobozia | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Concordia | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Unirea Slobozia or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Concordia) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Concordia win by 2+ | 21% | 4.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Unirea Slobozia and Concordia recent form
Unirea Slobozia
2W 0D 4L
Concordia
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Unirea Slobozia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Concordia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Unirea Slobozia at home only, Concordia away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page 2026-10-24
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-10-24
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2026-10-25
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Unirea Slobozia, previous: Slatina – Unirea Slobozia, 2026-10-17
- Concordia, previous: Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr prediction