CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti preview
CS Afumati faces CSA Steaua Bucureşti with a 62% probability of winning compared to 16% for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with CS Afumati's expected goals of 2.08 against CSA Steaua Bucureşti's 0.97. CS Afumati's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while CSA Steaua Bucureşti has only 1 win in their last 6.
However, the match could take a different turn if CSA Steaua Bucureşti improves their performance, as they have managed to draw in 3 of their last 6 games. Additionally, both teams to score is at 55%, indicating a chance for CSA Steaua Bucureşti to find the net. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: model vs market
| Source | CS Afumati | Draw | CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (CS Afumati / CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
- 1.07 / 0.84
- Defence rating (CS Afumati / CSA Steaua Bucureşti)
- 0.97 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Afumati goals. Columns: CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Afumati | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.49 | |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 16% | 6.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Afumati or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti) | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Afumati win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Afumati and CSA Steaua Bucureşti recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Afumati at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Afumati at home only, CSA Steaua Bucureşti away only.
CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CS Afumati 0 · draws 0 · CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CS Afumati | 0-1 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page 2026-10-24
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-10-24
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- CS Afumati, previous: Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati prediction
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti, previous: CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus analysis