Updated

Liga II · Matchday 11

Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina

· Areni Stadium, Suceava

Alin prediction Cetatea Suceava to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Cetatea SuceavaDrawSlatina

Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina preview

In the Liga II fixture, Cetatea Suceava has a 40% chance to win, while Slatina stands at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.

Cetatea Suceava's expected goals are 1.58, compared to Slatina's 1.44. Recent form shows Cetatea Suceava with a record of W-D-W-D-D-L, while Slatina has performed better with L-W-W-W-D-W. A surprise result could occur if Cetatea Suceava fails to convert their chances or if Slatina's recent winning momentum continues.

Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCetatea SuceavaDrawSlatina
Model42%28%30%
Market———
Published42%28%30%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Cetatea Suceava and Slatina expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.48Cetatea Suceava
1.20Slatina
Total expected goals
2.68
Attack rating (Cetatea Suceava / Slatina)
1.36 / 1.17
Defence rating (Cetatea Suceava / Slatina)
0.87 / 0.69

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.8% 1 8.9% 13.4% 7.3% 2.9% 1.1% 2 7.5% 9.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8% 3 3.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Cetatea Suceava goals. Columns: Slatina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cetatea Suceava vs Slatina

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Cetatea Suceava42%2.36
Draw28%3.57
Slatina30%3.38
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%1.99
Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.81
No45%2.24
Double chance1X (Cetatea Suceava or draw)70%1.42
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Slatina)58%1.74
Handicap -1Cetatea Suceava win by 2+21%4.68
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Cetatea Suceava and Slatina recent form

Cetatea Suceava 3W 3D 0L
Slatina 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Cetatea Suceava at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Slatina away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Cetatea Suceava at home only, Slatina away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Cetatea Suceava to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Cetatea Suceava