Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti preview
In the Liga II fixture, Metalul Buzău holds a strong 74% probability to win against Ştefăneşti, who has just a 7% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 17% chance according to our model. Metalul Buzău's expected goals stand at 2.10, while Ştefăneşti's is only 0.49, indicating a significant disparity in attacking potential.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Ştefăneşti manages to improve their recent form, which shows five losses in their last six games. Additionally, the 48% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score suggest that there is some potential for surprises, especially if Ştefăneşti can find their scoring touch.
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti: model vs market
| Source | Metalul Buzău | Draw | Ştefăneşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 20% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 74% | 20% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Metalul Buzău / Ştefăneşti)
- 0.84 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Metalul Buzău / Ştefăneşti)
- 0.58 / 1.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Metalul Buzău goals. Columns: Ştefăneşti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Ştefăneşti | 6% | 15.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.07 |
| No | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Metalul Buzău or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Ştefăneşti) | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metalul Buzău win by 2+ | 48% | 2.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Metalul Buzău and Ştefăneşti recent form
Metalul Buzău
3W 2D 1L
Ştefăneşti
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Metalul Buzău at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ştefăneşti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Metalul Buzău at home only, Ştefăneşti away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page 2026-10-24
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-10-24
- Cetatea Suceava v Slatina — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare 2026-10-25
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2026-10-25
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Metalul Buzău, previous: CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău prediction
- Ştefăneşti, previous: Ştefăneşti – CS Dinamo București, 2026-10-17