Slatina vs Concordia preview
In the Liga II fixture between Slatina and Concordia, the 1X2 probabilities show Slatina at 48% to win, while Concordia stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which is predicted at 9%. Slatina's expected goals are 1.85, compared to Concordia's 1.37, suggesting a competitive match.
However, the recent form could influence the outcome. Slatina has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Concordia has only managed 2 wins in the same period. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 64%, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 62%. These figures indicate potential for a high-scoring game, but Concordia's inconsistent performance may challenge their ability to find the net.
Slatina vs Concordia: model vs market
| Source | Slatina | Draw | Concordia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Published | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Slatina vs Concordia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slatina, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slatina | 2.10 | 2.10 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Concordia | 3.29 | 3.29 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slatina and Concordia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Slatina / Concordia)
- 1.06 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Slatina / Concordia)
- 0.77 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slatina vs Concordia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slatina goals. Columns: Concordia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slatina vs Concordia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slatina vs Concordia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slatina | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Concordia | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slatina or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Concordia) | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slatina win by 2+ | 27% | 3.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slatina and Concordia recent form
Slatina
4W 0D 2L
Concordia
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slatina at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Concordia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slatina at home only, Concordia away only.
Slatina vs Concordia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Slatina 1 · draws 0 · Concordia 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Concordia | 1-2 | Slatina | Liga II |
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Before and after this match
- Slatina, previous: Cetatea Suceava – Slatina, 2026-10-24
- Concordia, previous: Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia prediction