Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken preview
Falkenbergs FF faces Sandviken with a 47% chance of winning compared to 26% for both a draw and Sandviken. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% probability. Falkenbergs FF's expected goals stand at 1.68, while Sandviken's are at 1.21.
Both teams to score has a 58% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. Recent form shows Falkenbergs FF with four wins in their last five matches, while Sandviken has two wins in their last five. However, Sandviken has won 2 of the last 3 encounters, which could challenge Falkenbergs FF's chances.
Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken: model vs market
| Source | Falkenbergs FF | Draw | Sandviken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Falkenbergs FF and Sandviken expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.89
- Attack rating (Falkenbergs FF / Sandviken)
- 1.30 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Falkenbergs FF / Sandviken)
- 0.94 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Falkenbergs FF goals. Columns: Sandviken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Falkenbergs FF | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Sandviken | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Falkenbergs FF or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Sandviken) | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Falkenbergs FF win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Falkenbergs FF and Sandviken recent form
Falkenbergs FF
4W 1D 1L
Sandviken
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Falkenbergs FF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sandviken away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Falkenbergs FF at home only, Sandviken away only.
Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Falkenbergs FF 1 · draws 0 · Sandviken 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Sandviken | 4-2 | Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
| 2025-08-25 | Falkenbergs FF | 4-0 | Sandviken | Superettan |
| 2025-06-22 | Sandviken | 4-1 | Falkenbergs FF | Superettan |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Oddevold vs IK brage — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Falkenbergs FF, previous: Orebro SK v Falkenbergs FF analysis
- Sandviken, previous: IFK Varnamo – Sandviken, 2026-10-24