Sandviken vs United Nordic preview
In the Superettan fixture, Sandviken has a 54% probability to win against United Nordic, who has a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with expected goals of 2.05 for Sandviken and 1.19 for United Nordic. The model also suggests a 63% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score.
However, Sandviken's recent form shows inconsistency with two draws and a loss in their last five matches. United Nordic, despite a mixed record, has won two of their last five games. This variability in form could impact the outcome, making it essential to consider how each team's performance affects their chances.
Sandviken vs United Nordic: model vs market
| Source | Sandviken | Draw | United Nordic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Published | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.19.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sandviken vs United Nordic odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sandviken, 13 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandviken | 1.67 | 1.74 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.03 | -0.12 |
| United Nordic | 4.19 | 3.90 | -0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sandviken and United Nordic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.24
- Attack rating (Sandviken / United Nordic)
- 0.98 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Sandviken / United Nordic)
- 0.85 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sandviken vs United Nordic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sandviken goals. Columns: United Nordic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sandviken vs United Nordic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sandviken vs United Nordic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandviken | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 | |
| United Nordic | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sandviken or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or United Nordic) | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandviken win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sandviken and United Nordic recent form
Sandviken
2W 2D 2L
United Nordic
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sandviken at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
United Nordic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sandviken at home only, United Nordic away only.
Expected lineups
Sandviken lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 1 H. Sveijer
- 3 N. Geiger
- 17 W. Nilsson
- 2 G. Thörn
- 23 K. Harletun
- 16 M. Abubakari
- 15 F. Andersson
- 7 J. Arvidsson
- 26 L. Tagesson
- 9 Christian Wagner
Bench: L. Vabö, V. Backman, I. Lindholm, C. Rogers, A. Chidi, D. Bergman, Y. Yaya, A. Persson
United Nordic lineup · 4-4-2
- 40 A. Dževlan
- 24 T. Johansson
- 3 M. Fazal
- 12 S. Davis
- 16 N. Daneyl
- 7 A. Lindgren
- 21 E. Swedi
- 8 T. Grönborg
- 74 C. Aphrem
- 10 E. Durmaz
- 9 S. Shhab
Bench: Yaqoob Ghazala Fahad Sinan, L. Ygberg, A. Fisic, N. Issa, L. Nesvik-Andersson
Sandviken vs United Nordic head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sandviken 2 · draws 0 · United Nordic 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | United Nordic | 2-1 | Sandviken | Superettan |
| 2023-08-20 | Sandviken | 3-1 | United Nordic | Ettan - Norra |
| 2023-04-02 | United Nordic | 1-2 | Sandviken | Ettan - Norra |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orebro SK v Osters IF — match page 2026-11-07
- GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold 2026-11-07
- Helsingborg v Falkenbergs FF — match page 2026-11-07
- IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS 2026-11-07
- IK brage v Norrby IF — match page 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Sandviken, previous: Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken: odds and pick
- United Nordic, previous: United Nordic – GIF Sundsvall, 2026-10-31