Updated

Superettan · Matchday 30

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS

· Skarsjövallen, Ljungskile· Referee Rovcanin, Mirza

Alin prediction Landskrona BoIS to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ljungskile SKDrawLandskrona BoIS
  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Landskrona BoIS is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Ljungskile SK3.01 Draw3.71 Landskrona BoIS2.37

Price as of

Expected return at 2.37: -0.3% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS preview

In the Superettan match between Ljungskile SK and Landskrona BoIS, the 1X2 probabilities show Landskrona BoIS at 42%, Ljungskile SK at 32%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The expected goals are 1.41 for Ljungskile SK and 1.64 for Landskrona BoIS, indicating a competitive match.

Both teams to score has a 62% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 59%. Ljungskile SK's recent form includes 2 draws and 1 win, while Landskrona BoIS has won 4 of their last 6 matches. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, suggesting potential uncertainty in the outcome.

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLjungskile SKDrawLandskrona BoIS
Model32%26%42%
Market32%26%42%
Published32%26%42%
Edge0%0%0%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Landskrona BoIS, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 2.45Now 2.20 -0.25
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Ljungskile SK2.522.90+0.38
Draw3.603.58-0.02
Landskrona BoIS2.452.20-0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Ljungskile SK and Landskrona BoIS expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.41Ljungskile SK
1.64Landskrona BoIS
Total expected goals
3.05
Attack rating (Ljungskile SK / Landskrona BoIS)
0.94 / 1.33
Defence rating (Ljungskile SK / Landskrona BoIS)
0.95 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.9% 6.7% 6.4% 3.5% 2.1% 1 5.6% 12.1% 9.0% 4.9% 2.9% 2 4.7% 7.7% 6.3% 3.4% 2.0% 3 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 4+ 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5%

Rows: Ljungskile SK goals. Columns: Landskrona BoIS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ljungskile SK32%3.13
Draw26%3.85
Landskrona BoIS42%2.38
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.70
Under 2.541%2.42
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.61
No38%2.63
Double chance1X (Ljungskile SK or draw)58%1.73
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Landskrona BoIS)68%1.47
Handicap -1Landskrona BoIS win by 2+22%4.53
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Ljungskile SK and Landskrona BoIS recent form

Ljungskile SK 1W 3D 2L
Landskrona BoIS 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ljungskile SK at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-1-7
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
1.29
Goals against / match
1.36
Clean sheets
2 of 14
  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Landskrona BoIS away

Record (W-D-L)
7-2-5
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.79
Goals against / match
1.29
Clean sheets
3 of 14
  • They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ljungskile SK at home only, Landskrona BoIS away only.

Expected lineups

Ljungskile SK lineup · 3-5-2

  1. 1 L. Eriksson
  2. 69 I. Maric
  3. 5 F. Örnblom
  4. 3 G. Johanstrommer Hedin
  5. 23 M. Uzel
  6. 58 S. Adrian
  7. 71 D. Ljung
  8. 14 D. Lagerlof
  9. 16 E. Reljanovic
  10. 13 W. Nilsson
  11. 99 L. Lindholm Corner

Bench: A. Rasheed, F. Ambrož, S. Omar, S. Högblom, D. Frisk, H. Borstam, E. Hedström, C. Hogg, G. Mensah

Landskrona BoIS lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 30 M. Pettersson
  2. 3 G. Westström
  3. 6 T. Karlsson
  4. 26 A. Murbeck
  5. 28 M. Milosevic
  6. 23 Z. Loukili
  7. 18 A. Pérez
  8. 13 Kota Sakurai
  9. 9 E. Sylisufaj
  10. 10 C. Capotondi

Bench: Amr Kaddoura, A. Egnell, S. Ojala, Allen Smajl Smajić, E. Moungam, M. Mohamed, K. Jensen, R. Arabaci, E. Hebibovic

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Ljungskile SK 1 · draws 1 · Landskrona BoIS 3.

Ljungskile SKDrawsLandskrona BoIS
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-18Landskrona BoIS1-0Ljungskile SKSuperettan
2019-08-11Landskrona BoIS1-1Ljungskile SKEttan - Södra
2019-06-08Ljungskile SK3-0Landskrona BoISEttan - Södra
2017-09-10Landskrona BoIS2-0Ljungskile SKEttan - Södra
2017-05-13Ljungskile SK1-2Landskrona BoISEttan - Södra

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Landskrona BoIS to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Landskrona BoIS
Our pick: Landskrona BoIS to win 18+ Bet Now