Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold preview
In the Superettan fixture, Ostersunds FK has a 45% chance to win against Oddevold, who sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with Ostersunds FK's expected goals of 1.03 compared to Oddevold's 1.18. This suggests a tightly contested match, but Oddevold's recent form shows 3 wins in the last 5 encounters, which could challenge Ostersunds FK's home advantage.
The probability for Over 2.5 goals is at 38%, while both teams to score stands at 46%. This indicates a lower likelihood of a high-scoring game. Ostersunds FK's recent form includes 3 draws, which may impact their ability to secure a win. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold: model vs market
| Source | Ostersunds FK | Draw | Oddevold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 32% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ostersunds FK, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersunds FK | 1.95 | 1.85 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.42 | +0.02 |
| Oddevold | 3.70 | 3.95 | +0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ostersunds FK and Oddevold expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.21
- Attack rating (Ostersunds FK / Oddevold)
- 0.80 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Ostersunds FK / Oddevold)
- 0.69 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ostersunds FK goals. Columns: Oddevold goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ostersunds FK | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Oddevold | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ostersunds FK or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Oddevold) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ostersunds FK win by 2+ | 12% | 8.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ostersunds FK and Oddevold recent form
Ostersunds FK
2W 3D 1L
Oddevold
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ostersunds FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oddevold away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ostersunds FK at home only, Oddevold away only.
Expected lineups
Ostersunds FK lineup · 3-4-3
- 12 R. Forsell
- 3 H. Azzi
- 14 S. Anyanwu
- 19 D. Widgren
- 28 Y. Adjoumani
- 17 C. Edwards
- 16 A. Begić
- 27 D. Miljanovic
- 8 E. Özkan
- 22 J. Ali
- 10 S. Marklund
Bench: M. Uppenberg, J. Westerberg, A. Qasem, Masllorens, A. Stensrud, D. Molls, M. Palomino, L. Bozickovic, E. Y. Worke
Oddevold lineup · 4-4-2
- 12 M. Sætra
- 5 E. Mehmed
- 21 O. Thoreson
- 6 J. Merbom-Adolfsson
- 19 H. Engström
- 8 O. Iglicar Berntsson
- 15 E. Forsberg
- 14 G. Sandberg
- 7 V. Sundberg
- 10 L. Farah Shahin
- 23 A. Bitiqi
Bench: E. Hedenquist, R. Vikström, D. Krezic, D. Awaka, G. Forssell, A. Engelbrektsson, M. Bahno, F. Järlesand
Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Ostersunds FK 1 · draws 1 · Oddevold 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Oddevold | 1-0 | Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| 2025-10-25 | Oddevold | 0-0 | Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| 2025-06-14 | Ostersunds FK | 1-3 | Oddevold | Superettan |
| 2024-09-30 | Ostersunds FK | 0-2 | Oddevold | Superettan |
| 2024-05-26 | Oddevold | 1-2 | Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Orebro SK v Osters IF — match page 2026-11-07
- GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Helsingborg v Falkenbergs FF — match page 2026-11-07
- IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS 2026-11-07
- IK brage v Norrby IF — match page 2026-11-07
- Sandviken vs United Nordic — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Ostersunds FK, previous: IFK Norrkoping v Ostersunds FK analysis
- Oddevold, previous: Oddevold vs IK brage prediction